Sunday, January 27, 2019

Shutdown Chicken II: Trump Swerves

by MARK GABRISH CONLAN

Copyright © 2019 by Mark Gabrish Conlan for Zenger’s Newsmagazine • All rights reserved

Well, the game of “shutdown chicken” in Washington, D.C. — and the collateral damage throughout the U.S. as airports closed, planes deliberately slowed down so they wouldn’t crash into each other, the FBI had to hold back on drug enforcement because they didn’t have the money with which to buy drugs from major dealers so they could arrest them, and the members of the Border Patrol — the agency that’s actually supposed to secure the U.S.-Mexico border and stanch the alleged overflow “caravans” that are, at least in the minds of President Trump and his most fervent supporters, trying to crash it — weren’t getting paid is over. And, much to the surprise of a lot of people (including me), it was Donald Trump, not Nancy Pelosi, who swerved his car and therefore avoided a crash at the last minute at the risk of looking like the “chicken” and losing the game.
Not that President Trump is done with his threats to hold the entire U.S. government — and the population it serves — hostage over his mad plan to build the monument to himself he calls “The Wall” (always in caps in his tweets). When he made his capitulation statement on the morning of Friday, January 25 he talked for about half a minute about his promise to sign a continuing resolution to reopen the government for three weeks without any guarantee of funding for the Wall — not the $25 billion he asked for in the last budget, when Republicans still controlled both houses of Congress; not the $5.7 billion he had named as his bottom-line figure for this budget. To use a Spanish word that would particularly irk him in this context, nada.
Then he went into a 20-minute rant that was sort of an extended jam on the White House Oval Office TV speech he had made during the shutdown to try to gin up public support for it, including horror stories about drug smugglers and human traffickers driving up and down the border, past the official ports of entry (which actually are the ones most real-life drug smugglers use, as House Speaker Pelosi and Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer mentioned in their immediate response), until they find the place the existing fence stops and turn either right or left to enter the U.S. and start raping women and knocking off cops. Delivering this by-now tiresome spiel, Trump came off like Mick Jagger singing “Satisfaction” for the 5,000th time and sounding as bored with it as the rest of us.
Trump climaxed his jam-band freakout with the threat that if the House-Senate conference committee currently meeting to reconcile the differences between the Homeland Security budget passed by the Senate (which includes wall money) and the House (which doesn’t) doesn’t advance a recommendation that has the Wall in it, he’ll either shut down the government again (not likely, given the egg he’s got on his face now for shutting down the government for 35 days and then reopening it on the same deal he could have had with no shutdown at all) or will declare a “state of emergency” that will allegedly give him the power to raid other government budgets and build the wall whether Congress approves funding for it or not.
The “state of emergency” declaration no doubt appeals to Trump’s well-documented hatred of democracy and his fond wish that he could be an authoritarian dictator like his mentors and role models — Vladimir Putin of Russia, Xi Jiaoping of China, Kim Jong Un of North Korea, Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey, Rodrigo Duterte of the Philippines, Victor Orbán of Hungary et al. In the later stages of the shutdown the Trump administration announced plans for his second summit with Kim Jong Un, and I could readily imagine Kim asking Trump in private, “Why do you put up with this damned Pelosi woman? Why don’t you just have her killed? That’s what I would do!”
But — at least so far, with a lot of judges in the federal courts appointed either by Democratic or reality-based Republican Presidents rather than Trump and Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell in his quest to pack not only the Supreme Court but the federal court system in general — there are enough federal judges who take their oath to the Constitution seriously that a “state of emergency” declaration would probably be held up in court for at least two years. No doubt the Supreme Court, ruled by five hard-Right justices (two of them Trump appointees bulldozed through the Senate by McConnell’s scorched-earth tactics) will rule in Trump’s favor if they ever get the case, as they did on the Muslim travel ban and the ban on Transgender people in the military — but it’ll take time for the cases to work their way up to the Supremes, and hopefully in two years Trump will no longer be President and our long national nightmare will be over.
That’s why Trump behaved the way he did during the shutdown. He didn’t really want to declare the “state of emergency”; he wanted to scare the Democrats into thinking he’d do so in order to get them to issue the humiliating capitulation and decide $5.7 billion for a useless boondoggle was worth it to get the government reopened and its employees on salary again. Instead it was Trump who caved — leading Ann Coulter, one of the troika (along with Rush Limbaugh and Laura Ingraham) who talked Trump out of signing the continuing resolution to keep the government open last December and into shutting it down instead, to tweet, “Good news for George Herbert Walker Bush: As of today, he is no longer the biggest wimp ever to serve as President of the United States.”
Why? Because it didn’t escape Trump’s notice that, while both the bills to end the shutdown Mitch McConnell finally let the Senate vote on Thursday, January 24 — the Democrats’, which didn’t fund the wall; and Trump’s, which did — lost (thanks to the ridiculous 60-vote threshold for the Senate to pass most legislation, established by the loathsome “virtual filibuster”), the Democrats’ lost by fewer votes. Six Republicans crossed party lines to vote for the Democratic bill (versus only one Democrat, Joe Manchin of West Virginia, who voted for Trump’s), and it would only have taken seven more to pass the bill and seven more than that to override if Trump vetoed it.
Trump probably also got the message loud and clear that McConnell was having a harder and harder time holding the Senate Republicans in line on the shutdown votes. Word leaked to the media that at one meeting of the Senate Republican Caucus, Ron Johnson of Wisconsin had almost come to blows with McConnell as he asked, “Why are we doing this?” McConnell supposedly replied, “Do you think I like this?” Republican Senators running for re-election in 2020 in states Trump barely carried (like Wisconsin) didn’t like the idea that their Democratic opponents might be playing back video of Trump enthusiastically endorsing the shutdown, and they themselves enthusiastically endorsing Trump, in their TV commercials and online posts in the campaign.
But I suspect what really went haywire for the Republicans is that on Friday morning, January 25, the shutdown finally started to affect the 1 percent in real and measurable ways. They obviously didn’t care whether it affect anyone else, as witness the bizarre advice that kept coming from Trump and his Cabinet officials and staff on how the federal workers should cope with being forced to work, but not being paid, during the shutdown. Trump himself said they should make “arrangements” with their grocers to get food on credit — as if most Americans still stopped at tiny neighbor-owned grocery stores whose proprietors knew them personally.
Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross — known as the “King of Bankruptcies” because in his previous career running a hedge fund he made money for himself and his investors by buying troubled companies that had been driven into bankruptcy (often by the mismanagement of previous hedge-fund managers and so-called “activist investors” who routinely loot and destroy valuable, functioning businesses to steal their assets and make themselves richer) — told the government workers they should take out personal loans. He ignored not only the difference between his multibillionaire self, who can call his friendly bankers anytime and get a bridge loan to shore up his cash flow, and the rest of us, but also the general investment advice noted by David Lazarus in the Los Angeles Times that when you’re in financial trouble the last thing you should do is take out loans.
There were other similar statements from Trump economic advisors, including one who said the unpaid federal workers should look upon the shutdown as a “vacation” (actually for at least half of them it was the opposite of a vacation — instead of not having to work but still getting paid, they weren’t getting paid but still had to work), that made Marie Antoinette sound like an Occupy speaker by comparison. Not that Trump would have minded that. He’s enough of both a narcissist and a sadist that he enjoys inflicting pain on other people as long as he doesn’t have to suffer any himself.
Trump clearly agrees with George Orwell’s definition of “power” as “the ability to make others suffer/” In 1990 he said nice things about the Chinese government which had just ordered their troops to fire on peaceful pro-democracy demonstrators in Beijing: “When the students poured into Tiananmen Square, the Chinese government almost blew it. Then they were vicious, they were horrible, but they put it down with strength. That shows you the power of strength. Our country is right now perceived as weak ... as being spit on by the rest of the world.” (Playboy, March 1990, https://www.playboy.com/read/playboy-interview-donald-trump-1990.)
Former Daily Show host Jon Stewart has described Trump’s attitude towards other people as “gleeful cruelty,” and those who claim that Trump “lacks empathy” are missing the point. Trump is proud of having no empathy. He regards compassion as a vice, not a virtue, a pitfall he is determined to avoid with constant projection of “strength” and “toughness.” So the more sob stories that appeared in the media about laid-off or unpaid government workers having to choose between rent and food, rent and health care for their kids, rent and chemo for themselves, the prouder Trump was of causing pain to people who, in Right-wing mythology, are losers who only take government jobs because they don’t have the appetite for risk and the skills they need to succeed in the private sector. Besides, making people work for him without paying them was part of Trump’s private-sector business model, too.
What I think made Trump cave was that the shutdown was finally starting to harm his good buddies in the 1 percent. The morning of Friday, January 25, LaGuardia Airport in New York City — the one usually used by business travelers along the East Coast, and not coincidentally the one at which Trump’s own private airliner is berthed — shut down for an hour because so many air traffic controllers, tired of working long hours with no pay, had “called in sick.” The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) was calling airlines to tell their pilots to fly slower in order to minimize the risk of midair collisions between planes — which air traffic controllers are there to prevent.
All of a sudden the shutdown wasn’t just harming government workers (who will get back pay for their time off the payroll), private-sector contractors who do business with the government (who won’t get back pay, and many of whom may go out of business because of it), and the people newly elected Utah Senator Mitt Romney dissed during his 2012 Presidential campaign as “dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe that government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you name it.” Now it was hitting Trump’s peers, the people who are rich and “important” enough that their jobs (such as they are) depend on regular access to safe air travel.
Indeed, it’s ironic that many of the people who suffered most during the shutdown are the very people Trump said he was doing it for. As I pointed out on my Facebook page shortly after the shutdown started, Trump said he was doing it for “border security” and yet he was blocking payment for the Border Patrol, the people who actually provide border security. (He then added insult to injury by appearing on TV with Border Patrol officials and saying the vast majority of Border Patrol agents were supporting him despite the money he was literally taking out of their pockets.) The President of a party which continually disses the public sector and exalts private business staged a shutdown that hurt private contractors doing government business (who won’t get back pay) even more than actual federal employees (who will).
The lessons the government shutdown should teach the American people include: 1) Don’t trust a super-rich man to call himself “the people’s friend.” When push comes to shove, he’s for his own class’s interests, not yours. 2) Experience matters, even in politics. Both Donald Trump and Nancy Pelosi are 70-something, but Pelosi has been in politics virtually her whole adult life. She knows how the game is played far better than Trump does or ever will. 3) The federal government is yours. It doesn’t belong to the politicians holding office at any moment, or their parties, or some mythical “deep state” of the Right or what I call the “deep ruling class” of the Left. It belongs to us, and it’s our responsibility to keep it working for us by voting for people who are competent to administer it and dedicated to a conception of the public good — and by staying in the streets to keep our politicians accountable and make sure they actually deliver on what they told us they would do.